Wholesale beef prices in Georgia are expected to gradually increase from late November through February, with the purchase price per kilogram of liveweight projected to rise by GEL 1-2. Beka Gonashvili, founder of AgroKizikhi, said the seasonal trend is driven by temporary supply shortages and the country’s dependence on imports.
According to Gonashvili, farmers often delay selling their fattened cattle in late November and early December in anticipation of better prices during the New Year period, reducing market supply. Import disruptions also contribute to upward pressure. Prices may temporarily decline after the New Year as supply increases, before rising again from February, when shortages return.
Meanwhile, pork prices have remained unchanged, although Gonashvili expects them to potentially decline. He linked this outlook to falling grain prices in Russia, where farmers are facing difficulties selling their harvests, potentially reducing feed costs.
Gonashvili also warned that rising fuel and grain prices, regional import uncertainties and declining grain production could put further pressure on meat prices over the next 1.5-2 years. He noted that shortages of young cattle are becoming a global challenge, creating additional long-term risks for the livestock sector.
