Economist Akaki Tsomaia stated that Georgia’s 7.7% economic growth over the first nine months of 2025 is largely due to external factors rather than government policy. Speaking on BMGTV, he noted that although analysts and business representatives had predicted a recession, the actual growth was supported by international developments, including the Russia-Ukraine war and post-pandemic recovery.
Tsomaia explained that the long-term growth potential of Georgia’s economy is around 4.5–5%, determined by its competitiveness in international markets. While fiscal and monetary policies provide stability, short-term growth is heavily influenced by external events. The European Commission’s EU Enlargement Report similarly attributes Georgia’s recent high growth to factors such as re-export opportunities, tourism recovery, and skilled migrants from Russia.
According to Tsomaia, the benefits of this growth are unevenly distributed across sectors, meaning the general population may not feel the impact directly. He also warned that if Georgia’s isolation from Western markets continues, the positive effects of external factors will diminish, potentially lowering the country’s growth to its long-term potential.
The economist stressed that societal responsibility is crucial for sustained development. He urged citizens to actively create economic opportunities rather than rely solely on political parties, noting that waiting for the government alone is not sufficient to secure the country’s economic future.
